Veteran investor Tom Lee says buyers are higher off remaining bullish on markets regardless of the current correction in equities and different threat belongings.
In a brand new interview on CNBC, Fundstrat’s head of analysis says that the correction in equities – which noticed the S&P 500 dip from above 6,000 to five,832 – is probably going a chance for buyers to go lengthy fairly than keep cautious.
“That is one other shopping for alternative in our view. 2024 has confirmed to be a yr the place the market’s been robust and it has eluded many alternatives for sustained weak point. I do know [December 18th’s] pullback was actually painful, however to us, I feel the basic supporting shares are intact and I feel it’s a great alternative for buyers right here.”
Lee notes that the volatility index (VIX) – which measures the inventory market’s expectation of volatility based mostly on S&P 500 index choices – rose sharply on December 18th. He says that traditionally, such a fast rise has correlated with market bottoms.
“The market has been bleeding decrease.
In the event you take a look at internals for the final ten days, [December 18th] appears capitulatory as a result of not solely did we now have a 90% down day, however the VIX exploded by 75%. There are solely 4 instances in historical past the place it’s risen 60% in a day, so [December 18th] was the fifth time in its 35-year historical past. Of these 4 instances, the market recovered all of its losses inside per week three out of the 4 instances. The fourth time it took a month.
So I feel what you had was individuals panicking to get out of a momentum commerce that’s ending as a result of we’re so near year-end. However right here’s the fascinating factor. The ahead VIX-futures curve barely moved. So it was nearly as if individuals had been searching for safety by way of the VIX on [December 18th].”
As of Friday’s shut, the S&P 500 traded at 5,930 factors.
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